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One Ecosystem 11: e191980
https://doi.org/10.3897/oneeco.11.e191980 (20 Aug 2026)
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  • Introduction
    • Material and Methods
      • Study area and target species
  • Data resources
    • Species occurrence records
    • Environmental predictors
      • Bioclimatic Variables
      • Multicollinearity Assessment
      • Land-use and land-cover data
    • Modelling approach, settings and validation
    • Model performance evaluation
    • Future projections, ensemble modelling and suitability classification
  • Results
    • Variable importance and model performance evaluation
    • Current habitat suitability patterns
    • Future habitat suitability projections
      • Spatial patterns of future suitability
      •  Species-Specific Trends
      • Ensemble Agreement and Uncertainty
      • Combined Climate and Land-Use Projection
      • LUCC-driver uncertainty
    • Spatial overlap and invasion hotspots
  • Discussion
    • Current distribution patterns
    • Environmental drivers and ecological interpretation
    • Climate-only projections
    • Combined climate–land-use projections
    • Spatial overlap and potential co-occurrence
    • Methodological considerations and limitations
    • Implications for management and future research
  • Conclusions
  • Acknowledgements
  • References
  • Supplementary files
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